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Planned cesarean section based on suspected macrosomia is not a reasonable strategy.

A recent experience with a planned c-section has left me discouraged about the future of obstetric care in America.  Liz was pregnant with her first baby, and had experienced a normal pregnancy.  When her due date came and went, she asked me about induction.  I encouraged her to be patient and wait for her body to start labor naturally.  Liz had a great attitude about the general aches and pains of late pregnancy, and the frequent bouts of “false labor” that she put up with. 

Three days past her due date, by our office protocol, she had an ultrasound to confirm that everything was OK with her baby.  Unfortunately, the report that came back from the scan indicated a very big baby–10 lbs, 12 oz. to be exact!   Now, late-pregnancy ultrasounds can often be incorrect in their estimates of fetal weight.  The report gave a weight range, and stated that the fetal weight could be as low as 9 pounds.

The OB on call came in to talk with Liz.  He explained the high risk of shoulder dystocia with a macrosomic baby–a baby that weighs over an estimated 4500 grams, or about 9.9 lbs.  Shoulder dystocia occurs when the baby’s anterior, or upper shoulder (as the baby is facing the mother’s side after the head is born) becomes stuck behind the pubic bone and the rest off the baby’s body cannot be born.

Liz accepted the OB’s recommendation for a c-section, and a few hours later, her baby was born.  Before I tell you the rest of the story, I’d like to share some facts about shoulder dystocia:

  • A large number of babies born with shoulder dystocia are not big babies.  It can occur with a baby of any size.
  • The frequency of shoulder dystocia is from 0.5 – 1.5%
  • Risk factors include a macrosomic baby (bigger than 4500 grams), past history of shoulder dystocia, maternal obesity, and a truly abnormal pelvis–such as deformity from polio or pelvic fracture.

The rates of shoulder dystocia increase with increasing birth weight:¹

Infant weight Rate of shoulder dystocia
Less than 4000g 0.3%
4000-4500 g 4.7%
Greater than 4500 g 9.4%

Can shoulder dystocia be predicted?  This is a difficult question, and the best evidence indicates that we cannot with reliability predict the occurence of shoulder dystocia.  There are “red flags” which can raise suspicion for increased shoulder dystocia risk:

  • Clinical exam (by feeling the baby and measuring with a centimeter tape) that indicates a large baby is probably better at predicting fetal size than a late ultrasound
  • Failure of the baby to descend into the birth canal
  • Slowing of progress in late labor (around 8 centimeters dilation) in a woman who previously has made good progress, along with suspicion of a large baby
  • Decision to use vacuum or forceps is correlated with higher rate of shoulder dystocia

The 2002 ACOG practice bulletin on shoulder dystocia reported:

1.   Most cases of shoulder dystocia cannot be predicted or prevented because there are no accurate methods to identify which fetuses will develop this complication.

2.  Ultrasonic measurement to estimate macrosomia has limited accuracy

3.  Planned cesarean section based on suspected macrosomia is not a reasonable strategy

4.  Planned cesarean section may be reasonable for the nondiabetic with an estimated fetal weight exceeding 5000 g or the diabetic whose fetus is estimated over 4500 g

In my next post, I will discuss more information about shoulder dystocia prediction, prevention, and management.  Meanwhile, the rest of Liz’s story–her baby, born by cesarean section, weighed 7 pounds.

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